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Card Counting the UR Way Egalite Baccarat Side Bet

The Tie bet is among the safest side bets in baccarat. Various approaches have been tried in developing a strategy to defeat the tie (see this post and this post). However, even using computer perfect play and a cut card placed at 7 cards, an AP who places a $100 wager on the Tie bet whenever he has the edge will only earn about $33 per shoe (0.33 units per shoe). It is unlikely any serious AP would try to defeat the Tie bet.

By
Eliot Jacobson Ph.D.
July 19, 2013

Card Counting the "Bet the Bust" Side Bet: 2D, H17

Side bets that pay out when the dealer busts were a hot area of development a few years back. I was involved with two of these bets as the primary mathematician for the game developers. One of the wagers I analyzed was Dealer Bust 21 (see this post). The other bust-type wager I analyzed was "Bet the Bust" (BTB) for the company Tech Art. BTB is the subject of this post.

By
Eliot Jacobson Ph.D.
October 20, 2016

Beating the Royal Match Blackjack Side Bet

The Royal Match (RM) wager is one of the oldest blackjack side bets still available. It pays if the player’s first two cards are the same suit. If the cards form the rare hand KQ suited, then there is a premium payout.  It is intuitively clear that there must be situations where the player has the edge. Quantifying the value that can be obtained through practical methods is where the work of the AP begins.

By
Eliot Jacobson Ph.D.
August 14, 2012

Card Counting the Royal 20's Blackjack Side Bet

Back in 2003, when I was still a player, I advocated playing against the Lucky Ladies (LL) bet. Back then, there were a few great opportunities, particularly in Washington State. In early October, 2003, I stumbled on a variation of the LL concept on the tables at the Plaza casino in downtown Las Vegas. The new side bet I observed was called “Royal 20s” (R20).  The idea was similar to LL: the player was paid on any two-card 20.

By
Eliot Jacobson Ph.D.
December 29, 2012

Card Counting Baccarat Insurance: Natural 9

Baccarat insurance is a side bet that players can make during the play of a hand of baccarat. This side bet is really an aggregate of sides bets, some of which can be made based on the first two cards exposed, and some of which can be made later during the play of the hand. Each of these side bets has its own separate wagering rules and payout. Michael Shackleford determined the house edge for the various insurance wagers in this article.

By
Eliot Jacobson Ph.D.
September 8, 2013

Safeguarding Baccarat Side Bets

Card counting baccarat side bets is one of the strongest ongoing opportunities for advantage players. These opportunities arise from the intersection of four game protection deficiencies, none of which has a good solution. Consider:

By
Eliot Jacobson Ph.D.
February 10, 2014

Card Counting the Upcard Luck Blackjack Side Bet

The Upcard Luck (UL) blackjack side bet is a bit wacky to describe. Payouts are based on the dealer's up-card together with the two cards the player is dealt. In this sense, it is similar to both Lucky Lucky and 21 + 3. There would certainly be intellectual property issues if this bet made it big. Right now, though, it has very few placements.

By
Eliot Jacobson Ph.D.
April 25, 2015